3RD and BROWN | THE QUARTERBACK ROOM

The quarterback position might be the best chance to zig when others zag. Roster management

is key here, but you do need to have 2 x premium plus 1 x rookie to start the season, but which

ones to pick is the million dollar question I will try and help answer today. Looking at the

ownership numbers as at 5pm, 4th of September.

Firstly, looking at the top 30 QB rankings based on Supercoach price -

1. Josh Allen - $30,000,000

2. Matt Stafford - $27,230,00

3. Patrick Mahomes - $27,140,000

4. Drake Maye - $27,080,000

5. Brock Purdy - $26,740,000

6. Jaxson Dart - $26,740,000

7. Trevor Lawrence - $26,310,000

8. Jacoby Brisset - $25,120,000

9. Jalen Hurts - $24,480,000

10. Dak Prescott - $24,340,000

11. Caleb Williams - $24,350,000

12. Justin Herbert - $24,070,000

13. Bo Nix - $23,810,000

14. Jared Goff - $23,160,000

15. Daniel Jones - $21,880,000

16. Joe Burrow - $22,320,000

17. Lamar Jackson - $21,880,000

18. Mac Jones - $21,740,000

19. Jayden Daniels - $21,390,000

20. Baker Mayfield - $21,200,000

21. Tyler Shough - $20,930,000

22. Jordan Love - $20,450,000

23. Justin Fields - $20,340,000

24. CJ Stroud - $19,850,000

25. Sam Darnold - $18,730,000

26. Aaron Rogers - $18,680,000

27. Kyler Murray - $18,600,000

28. Bryce Young - $18,270,000

29. Joe Flacco - $18,010,000

30. JJ McCarthy - $17,350,000

Now as much as we love Supercoach, we can all agree that whoever/however they come up

with their projected scores, doesn’t really know what they are doing. Sleeper is my weapon of

choice when it comes to fantasy football, so ill be using these rankings to project out the QB

scores for the season. Looking at these rankings -

1. Josh Allen

2. Lamar Jackson

3. Drake Maye

4. Jalen Hurts

5. Jayden Daniels

6. Joe Burrow

7. Dak Prescott

8. Trevor Lawrence

9. Brock Purdy

10. Caleb Williams

11. Jaxon Dart

12. Bo Nix

13. Justin Herbert

14. Patrick Mahomes

15. Jarred Goff

16. Kyler Murray

17. Matthew Stafford

18. Jordan Love

19. Malik Willis

20. Sam Darnold

21. CJ Stroud

22. Bryce Young

23. Cam Ward

24. Daniel Jones

25. Geno Smith

26. Fernando Mendoza

27. Aaron Rodgers

28. Jacoby Brissett

29. Michael Pennix Jr

30. Deshawn Watson

Fernando Mendoza still remains the only rookie starting QB. He has to be the first player picked

in your team.

The Supercoach ownership percentages support that ground break synopsis. Looking at the top

10 owned -

1. Fernando Mendoza - 53% owned - There is going to be a lot of chasing the scoreboard

for the number 1 draft pick, and with Bowers and the catching of running back Jeanty, its

hard to argue he won’t be the biggest money maker for the season. He gets Dolphins,

Chargers and Saints in the first 3 games of the season, 3 teams not known for defense.

He then rolls into Chiefs, Patriots, Bills and Rams, so if you want him, you want him now.

You should have him now.

2. Josh Allen - 45% owned - I might be in the minority, but he is an avoid for me. Just to

start the season. Hear me out. Starts the season at the Texans, the consensus best

defense in the NFL. He might be available for a discount after the first price changes roll

through. I could also be wrong and he is more expensive. I think there is some better

money making QB’s that won’t cost you a lot of points. More on that soon.

3. Lamar Jackon - 37% owned - Sleeper Fantasy has him projected as the second highest

scoring QB behind Josh Allen. I don’t see it. The injury concerns are too high for me.

4. Joe Burrow - 11% owned - A huge drop from the top 3. I started with Burrow last year,

and I will not be burned again.

5. Deshaun Watson - 9.9% - The man has been banned from more massage parlours then

he has thrown touchdowns in the last 2 years. This is 9.9% too high. A confused QB

room, but the Browns are going to Browns.

6. Carson Beck - 6.6% owned - Brissett to be named as started. Could be a cash cow in

the middle of year, but you don’t need him now.

7. Matthew Stafford - 6.3% owned - How many of this 6.6% are going to watch him in

Melbourne next weekend? High powered offense, but the price is way too high for me.

8. Drake Maye - 5.6% owned - Going from a last placed schedule to a first placed

schedule will be tough for the overachieving Maye this year. Sleeper has him 3rd highest

point total though, so maybe I am wrong here.

9. Caleb Williams - 5% owned - In the interest of full disclosure, Williams currently has the

captain armband on my team. In the only division with all 4 teams having division title

aspirations ( I am not counting Tampa winning the NFC South with an 8 and 9 record).

The schedule is tough, but he’s my guy. For now.

10. Kyler Murray/Patrick Mahomes - 4.3% owned - Beware the wounded champion

(Mahomes), and be wary to avoid the guy on a new team who maybe should have taken

up the baseball contract he was once offered (Murray)

QB’s outside of the top 10 that interest me -

Malik Willis - $15,110,000 - 3.4% owned - Oddly priced, but with the Tua experience over in

Miami, can this become Malik’s house? They could easily have the worst record, which means a

lot of playing from behind, but who exactly is he throwing too?

Justin Herbert - $24,070,000 - 3.1% owned - I am a Chargers fan. Herbert currently sits in my

flex. Feels a bit more heart than head. I have another idea for my flex -

Jayden Daniels - $21,390,000 - 2.5% owned - Sleeper has him as the 5th highest scorer in their

projections. Supercoach has him priced as the 19th most expensive QB. One of these is wrong.

In other news, welcome Jayden Daniels to my SC team. Also shout out to the 0.8% of

Supercoach’s that own Jalon Daniels the back up QB for Tampa. Check you have the right J

Daniels fam.

Brown, out.

I find this information helpful when looking at all positions, the over/under lines for wins this

season (numbers from Vegas Insider) -

AFC East

Dolphins - 3.5

Jets - 5.5

Bills - 10.5

Patriots - 9.5

AFC North

Bengals - 10.5

Steelers - 8.5

Browns - 5.5

Ravens - 10.5

AFC South

Colts - 8.5

Texans - 10.5

Titans - 6.5

Jaguars - 8.5

AFC West

Chargers - 9.5

Chiefs - 10.5

Raiders - 5.5

Broncos - 9.5

NFC East

Giants - 7.5

Commanders - 7.5

Eagles - 10.5

Cowboys - 9.5

NFC North

Vikings - 8.5

Bears - 9.5

Packers - 9.5

Lions - 10.5

NFC South

Saints - 7.5

Buccaneers - 8.5

Falcons - 6.5

Panthers - 7.5

NFC West

Rams - 11.5

Seahawks - 10.5

Cardinals - 3.5

49ers - 10.5

Nathan Brown